Expert
Research & Analysis

The economic landscape is always changing. Understanding the short- and long-term trends that shape our economy is crucial for long-term success. Our experts track and analyze the most important trends and forces that shape the state and region and share their insights here.
Dive into our free analysis of trends and economic conditions in the region.
Labor Force - Q2-2023 Outlook Report
September 6, 2023

Labor Markets Continue to Run Hot

The labor market outlook continues to defy gravity. In our last issue, we shared how national and state labor markets generally outperformed expectations. We also discussed historic data revisions that indicated labor markets were healthier…

Housing - Q1-2023 Outlook Report
April 3, 2023

As Prices Persist, Affordability Takes a Hit

While the housing market of 2022 will be remembered for its dramatic highs and lows on a national scale, these historic swings were amplified more so in distinct regional and local markets. The South Dakota…

Wages & Income - Q1-2023 Outlook Report
April 3, 2023

Inflation Continues to Erode Earnings

Workers in the private sector saw their average hourly earnings fall by $0.75 from December 2021 to December 2022 when controlling for inflation, according to recently released data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (Current…

Macroeconomy - Q1-2023 Outlook Report
April 3, 2023

National Economy Heats up While the State Economy Slows Down

Looking back to our first issue in late 2022, we saw the national and state economies gaining strength and confidence, though the heady days of 2021 were unlikely to return soon. The newest data from…

Labor Force - Q1-2023 Outlook Report
April 3, 2023

New Data Shows a Tight Labor Market

This issue of the Dakota Outlook introduces two substantial revisions that affect data previously reported in the forecast table. The first revision reflects a change in our reporting practices, while the second stems from data…

Labor Force - Q4-2022 Outlook Report
November 21, 2022

The Labor Shortage is Real But Don’t Blame Quiet Quitting

The US labor market has spent most of 2022 ignoring any warnings about economic slowdowns. Employment growth and job creation have been at multi-decade highs through much of the post-pandemic period, and labor markets remained…

Housing - Q4-2022 Outlook Report
November 21, 2022

South Dakota Housing Costs Rising Faster than the Nation’s

While decades-high inflation has impacted almost every sector of the US economy, its most apparent effects are reflected in housing markets. South Dakota is no exception to this national trend in increased housing prices. In…

Wages & Income - Q4-2022 Outlook Report
November 21, 2022

High Inflation Leads to Negative Income Growth

South Dakota real (inflation-adjusted) personal income is trending downward in 2022 after growing each year between 2017 and 2021.  While the state experienced growth in the first quarter of 2022, the inability to keep up…

Macroeconomy - Q4-2022 Outlook Report
November 21, 2022

What’s Driving the Inflation Bus?

On November 3, 2022 the Federal Reserve announced another 75 basis point hike in the Federal Funds rate (the overnight interest rate on interbank loans), raising its target from 3.25% to 4.00%. The Fed is…